Decision frame for departure time choice under uncertainty
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Route choice decision under uncertainty
We study route choice behavior when travel time is uncertain. In this case, users do not minimize expected travel time but also take into account travel time variability. We collected survey data and analyze them with a method based on the ordered probit model. This allows us to have an ordinal as well as cardinal measures of risk aversion. Such an approach is therefore consistent with expected...
متن کاملA micro-simulation model system of departure time and route choice under travel time uncertainty
Existing microscopic traffic models have often neglected departure time change as a possible response to congestion. In addition, they lack a formal model of how travellers base their daily travel decisions on the accumulated experience gathered from repetitively travelling through the transport network. This paper proposes an approach to account for these shortcomings. A micro-simulation appro...
متن کاملA Positive Model of Departure Time Choice under Road Pricing and Uncertainty
This paper develops a novel positive model for departure time choice under road pricing and uncertainty at the individual levels, and analyzes the consequent system-level dynamic properties. The proposed modeling framework avoids assumptions of substantial rationality, and focuses on how individuals actually make decisions. Bayesian learning, knowledge updating, search, and decisionmaking under...
متن کاملDecision Making under Uncertainty: Social Choice and Manipulation
My research seeks insight into the complexity of computational reasoning under uncertain information. I focus on preference aggregation and social choice. Insights in these areas have broader impacts in the areas of complexity theory, autonomous agents, and uncertainty in artificial intelligence. Motivation: Planning and reasoning in nondeterministic settings is something that people take for g...
متن کاملDecomposable Choice under Uncertainty
Savage motivated his sure thing principle by arguing that, whenever an act would be preferred if an event obtains and preferred if that event did not obtain, it should be preferred overall. The ability to decompose and recompose decision problems in this way has normative appeal. It does not, however, require the full separability embodied in Savage's axiom. We formulate a weaker axiom that suf...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING REVIEW
سال: 2001
ISSN: 0913-4034,1884-8303
DOI: 10.2208/journalip.18.491